Africa’s aviation sector is set for rapid expansion over the next two decades, driven by population growth, rising incomes, and greater regional connectivity, according to Boeing’s latest Commercial Market Outlook, reported by Simple Flying.

Boeing forecasts passenger traffic in Africa will grow by about 6% annually through 2044, making it one of the world’s fastest-expanding air travel markets. The manufacturer expects the continent’s commercial fleet to more than double from about 744 aircraft today to around 1,680 by 2044.

To meet this demand, Boeing projects deliveries of 1,205 new aircraft to African carriers between 2025 and 2044, including 865 single-aisle jets, 240 wide-bodies, 90 regional aircraft, and 10 freighters.

The report also highlights growing demand for aviation services worth an estimated $130 billion over the same period, alongside the need for around 74,000 new pilots, technicians, and cabin crew.

“Aviation is a catalyst for Africa’s economic expansion and intra-continental connection,” said Shahab Matin, Boeing’s managing director for Commercial Marketing in the Middle East and Africa.

Boeing’s outlook cites demographic growth, urbanization, rising middle-class incomes, and improved infrastructure as key drivers. The rise of low-cost carriers is also expected to stimulate demand by offering more affordable travel options.

However, the report notes several risks. Regulatory fragmentation, slow adoption of open-skies policies, economic volatility, currency challenges, and increasing environmental requirements could constrain growth. Boeing says stronger policy support and sustained investment will be crucial for Africa to reach its projected aviation potential.

Simple Flying reports that whether the forecast materializes will depend on how effectively these challenges are addressed in the coming years.